Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.203228 0.236700 0.273364 0.316422 0.365521 0.419677 0.483845
2026-01-18 0.148802 0.194623 0.250115 0.321863 0.411730 0.520086 0.660093
2026-01-25 0.116465 0.166422 0.231687 0.322312 0.443857 0.600063 0.814618
2026-02-01 0.093647 0.144243 0.214689 0.318466 0.465656 0.664815 0.952041
2026-02-08 0.076805 0.126514 0.199747 0.313374 0.482540 0.721769 1.081382
2026-02-15 0.062414 0.109506 0.182644 0.301691 0.486960 0.759652 1.185116
2026-02-22 0.056969 0.105453 0.184175 0.317542 0.532851 0.860332 1.387018
2026-03-01 0.047900 0.093736 0.171651 0.309165 0.539584 0.901823 1.502361
2026-03-08 0.040093 0.082835 0.158796 0.298244 0.540345 0.933047 1.602953
2026-03-15 0.034306 0.074630 0.149366 0.291716 0.547139 0.973586 1.720374
2026-03-22 0.031014 0.070670 0.146978 0.297151 0.574554 1.049557 1.900578
2026-03-29 0.028976 0.068893 0.148378 0.309505 0.615028 1.150156 2.128600
2026-04-05 0.026452 0.065775 0.146940 0.316632 0.647232 1.239946 2.346547
2026-04-12 0.023772 0.061883 0.143467 0.319431 0.671695 1.318118 2.550275
2026-04-19 0.021212 0.057798 0.139000 0.319597 0.690877 1.387805 2.743201
2026-04-26 0.018670 0.053288 0.132978 0.315751 0.701601 1.442340 2.911825
2026-05-03 0.016382 0.048974 0.126769 0.310695 0.709204 1.491197 3.072724
2026-05-10 0.013985 0.043903 0.118083 0.299102 0.702022 1.510735 3.179008
2026-05-17 0.013487 0.043885 0.121369 0.314831 0.753878 1.649493 3.523336
2026-05-24 0.011730 0.039981 0.114614 0.306519 0.752952 1.682582 3.662763
2026-05-31 0.010081 0.036046 0.107193 0.295682 0.745284 1.701110 3.773977
2026-06-07 0.008839 0.033079 0.101839 0.289205 0.746727 1.738355 3.925026
2026-06-14 0.008214 0.031946 0.101253 0.294597 0.776003 1.836199 4.206446